I feel like what happened in Istanbul Municipality election will happen at a national level. HDP offers a good candidate that does not have much chance. Most Kurdish HDP voters vote for AKP candidate, especially those consertivative citizens, most leftists vote for HDP and AKP wins.
I personally like Mr. Demirtaş very much but I do not believe he has a chance against MHP-CHP and AKP candidates. In the second round, most conservative HDP voters will probably turn to AKP candidate… This is what I observe in the field. Erdoğan has a great card: Peace process. Main opposition does not have much peace with the Kurdish question.
Let’s see what the future shows…
Turkey’s ruling AKP to announce candidate for presidency on July 1
The AKP has confirmed that it will announce its candidate for the August presidential elections on July 1, two days before the official deadline
Vía Erkan’s Field Diary http://ift.tt/1qP6XCR